{"id":18,"date":"2026-05-08T10:04:31","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T10:04:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/phoenixrelocationnews.com\/?p=18"},"modified":"2026-05-08T10:04:31","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T10:04:31","slug":"new-phoenix-monsoon-forecast-released-what-to-expect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/phoenixrelocationnews.com\/?p=18","title":{"rendered":"New Phoenix monsoon forecast released: What to expect"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

For the second year in a row, Phoenix stands a better chance of having an unusually wet monsoon than an unusually dry one, according to forecasts from the National Weather Service\u2019s climate prediction center.<\/p>\n

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Monsoon season runs from June 15 to Sept. 30 each year. A typical monsoon brings 2.43 inches of rain to the Valley each year, a mark the Phoenix area passed last summer with 2.76 inches of rain. That came on the heels of two abnormally dry monsoons in 2024 and 2023, which saw only 0.74 and 0.15 inches of rain, respectively.<\/p>\n

The NWS forecast heading into the summer of 2025 predicted a wetter monsoon, on balance, and the same holds for this summer. According to NWS meteorologist Mark O\u2019Malley, the Valley has a 40% chance of above-normal precipitation from July through September, compared to a 33% chance of near-normal precipitation and a 27% chance of below-normal precipitation.<\/p>\n

A wetter monsoon can offer much-needed reprieves from the Arizona heat, though that doesn\u2019t necessarily mean this summer will be cooler. Last summer was not record-breaking hot but was still scorching by historical standards.<\/p>\n

In Arizona, monsoon conditions occur with the change of the seasons, when winds shift from generally eastward, coming from California and Nevada, to a southerly direction. As a result,\u00a0moisture is pushed northward from Mexico. Additionally, when the land in Arizona heats up as summer temperatures climb, it draws cooler air from coastal areas, which brings moisture that eventually dumps rain on the state.<\/p>\n

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Arizona has had a particularly hot winter and spring, with February (which averaged 67.7 degrees) and March (78.8 degrees) breaking records. This April (77.6 degrees) was the third-warmest in Phoenix history. Because the surface of the state has been so abnormally warm, that could lead to an earlier monsoon season.<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cThat is potentially a driver,\u201d O\u2019Malley said. \u201cHowever, there are many more things that go into it. That is one of several inputs that determine the amount of thunderstorm activity.\u201d<\/p>\n

Last year, monsoon rains arrived very late, with 2.26 inches of rain in September and another 3.26 inches in October. (Though some of that later rain was not technically monsoon-related.) When, specifically, will the rain arrive this year? Unfortunately, that\u2019s too difficult to say.<\/p>\n

Read more The Veto Queen is back: All 61 bills Gov. Hobbs has rejected in 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Phoenix had a wetter-than-normal monsoon in 2025, and the chances for 2026 are looking similarly favorable.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":17,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-weather"],"yoast_head":"\nNew Phoenix monsoon forecast released: What to expect - Phoenix Relocation News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/phoenixrelocationnews.com\/?p=18\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"New Phoenix monsoon forecast released: What to expect - Phoenix Relocation News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Phoenix had a wetter-than-normal monsoon in 2025, and the chances for 2026 are looking similarly favorable.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/phoenixrelocationnews.com\/?p=18\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Phoenix Relocation News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-05-08T10:04:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/phoenixrelocationnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/cce55e1aa70661714150b556724fcda6.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/phoenixrelocationnews.com\\\/?p=18#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/phoenixrelocationnews.com\\\/?p=18\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/phoenixrelocationnews.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/b18a6d477e57bdeec7b4b61a70eace7b\"},\"headline\":\"New Phoenix monsoon forecast released: What to expect\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-05-08T10:04:31+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/phoenixrelocationnews.com\\\/?p=18\"},\"wordCount\":408,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/phoenixrelocationnews.com\\\/?p=18#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/phoenixrelocationnews.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/cce55e1aa70661714150b556724fcda6.webp\",\"articleSection\":[\"Weather\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/phoenixrelocationnews.com\\\/?p=18#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/phoenixrelocationnews.com\\\/?p=18\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/phoenixrelocationnews.com\\\/?p=18\",\"name\":\"New Phoenix monsoon forecast released: What to expect - 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